Critical Thinking and Intelligence Analysis

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Government Printing Office, Jan 15, 2010 - Education - 134 pages
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Author David Moore makes a powerful argument that analysts who possess critical thinking skills are better able to cope with the complexities of a post-Cold War world than those who are not.Although technology can assist analysts by cataloguing and presenting data, information and evidence in new ways, it cannot do the analysis for them. To be most effective, analysts need an overarching, reflective framework to add structured reasoning to sound, intuitive thinking. Critical thinking provides such a framework and goes further, positively influencing the entire intelligence analysis process. This paper defines critical thinking in the context of intelligence analysis, explains how it influences the entire intelligence process, explores how it toughens the art of intelligence analysis, suggests how it may be taught, and deduces how analysts can be persuaded to adopt this habit.

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Selected pages

Contents

How Do People Reason?
3
What Can Be Learned from the Past?
20
How Can Intelligence Analysts Employ Critical Thinking?
48
How Can Analysts Be Taught to Think Critically?
61
How Does Critical Thinking Transform?
74
What Other Points of View Exist?
86
Conclusion
95
Bibliography
117
About the Author
133
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